Indian markets enter the week focused on the RBI policy decision, growth projections and Q2 earnings after sharp losses pushed benchmarks lower. Easing West Asia tensions could trigger a relief rally, while global yields, crude prices and US economic data remain key factors
The RBI kept the repo rate unchanged at 5.25 per cent for a third straight policy meeting, while maintaining a neutral stance. It raised its FY27 GDP growth forecast to 6.7 per cent, lowered the inflation projection to 5 per cent and cited global uncertainties.
The RBI Bulletin has warned that an adverse south-west monsoon could affect India's growth and inflation outlook. While domestic economic momentum remains strong, geopolitical tensions, trade disruptions and uncertainty surrounding the global economy continue to pose significant risks
A new research report warns of a high probability of an El Niño event through November, raising concerns over food inflation in India. Despite healthy reservoir levels and vegetable supplies, higher fuel costs and weather uncertainties could push inflation to 5.2–5.5% in FY27
Chief Economic Advisor V. Anantha Nageswaran has cautioned that India’s inflation outlook faces fresh risks due to rising crude oil and commodity prices triggered by the Iran-US conflict. While India enters this phase with strong macroeconomic fundamentals, policymakers face the challenge of containing inflation without undermining growth.
