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According to forex dealers, foreign investors have injected over USD 2 billion into Indian equities over the past four days, while month-to-date inflows into Indian bonds have surpassed USD 3 billion. However, the local currency's sharp appreciation remained limited as investors weighed the potential economic impact of rising global trade concerns.
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Forex traders attributed the rupee’s gains to FPIs becoming net buyers in equities for the second time this week while making substantial investments in debt. At the interbank foreign exchange, the rupee opened at 86.26 against the US dollar, strengthened further, and reached 86.19, marking an appreciation of 17 paise from its previous close.
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Forex traders noted that the Indian rupee has pushed back against external pressures, bolstered by strong foreign inflows into debt markets. However, persistent foreign institutional investor sell-offs and uncertainty over Trump's tariff stance could still threaten the rupee's upward trajectory.
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Forex traders noted that the local currency received support from declining crude oil prices and an influx of foreign capital into domestic equity markets. At the interbank foreign exchange, the rupee opened weaker at 86.60, dropped to 86.68, and was trading at 86.66 against the US dollar in early transactions, marking a 10-paise decline from its previous close.
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Forex analysts noted that rising global tariff tensions kept driving foreign capital outflows, but the local currency gained support from a weaker U.S. dollar index and lower crude oil prices.
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Forex analysts note that the local currency faced additional pressure from a strengthening U.S. dollar index and a rebound in crude oil prices, compounding the impact of selling in domestic equities and the ongoing outflow of foreign capital.
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A lackluster domestic equity market and continuous foreign fund outflows exerted pressure on the local currency. However, easing crude oil prices provided some support, according to forex traders. At the interbank foreign exchange, the rupee opened weaker at 87.24 amid high volatility, hitting a low of 87.34 before stabilizing at 87.25 against the US dollar in early trade, marking a 30-paise decline from its previous close.
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Forex traders noted that the local currency initially gained support following the US decision to postpone higher tariffs on Canada and Mexico. Additionally, the RBI's move to inject Rs 1.9 trillion liquidity into the banking system further strengthened the domestic unit. However, they added that volatile equity markets dampened sentiment, dragging the currency into negative territory.
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The domestic equity markets rebounded with the 30-share BSE Sensex rising 117.57 points to 74,571.98 in early trade, while Nifty was up 31.3 points to 22,584.65
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Sitharaman rejects criticism that rupee has seen all-round weakness, says Indian currency least volatile against the US dollar among its Asian and global peers
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Around 24 paise will come from borrowings and other liabilities, 9 paise from non-tax revenue like disinvestment, and 1 paise from non-debt capital receipts, the Budget documents said
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The rupee opened at 86.35 then fell further to 86.44 against the American currency, as Trump Tariffs uncertainty gained
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GTRI says depreciating domestic currency will increase India's gold import bill, especially as global gold prices have jumped 31.25 per cent, rising from USD 65,877 per kg in January 2024 to USD 86,464 per kg in January 2025
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Record surge in crude oil prices, sustained outflow of foreign capital and negative trend in domestic equity markets keep Indian currency under pressure
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The Indian currency, however, capped the fall on the back of some recovery in domestic equity markets and receding crude oil prices overseas
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The rupee dropped 5 paise to 85.69 against the US dollar in early trade, the first session of 2025
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Slowing domestic growth, widening trade deficit, and persistent foreign fund outflows fuel depreciation
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Forex traders say the rupee is likely to remain in a weakening mode due to significant dollar demand
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Forex traders noted that lower crude oil prices in the international market boosted the local currency's recovery. At the interbank forex market, the rupee opened at 84.42 and gained further to 84.38 against the US dollar, up by 8 paise from its previous close.
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Forex traders said the Indian rupee touched new all-time lows weighed down by negative domestic markets which fell nearly 1.18 per cent.