Rupee at 10-month low adds to selling pressure in stock market

The Indian rupee experienced a decline due to the dollar index surpassing 103.5; however, likely intervention from the RBI offered a degree of support

New Delhi: Adding to the negative sentiment in stock markets, the rupee depreciated to near a 10-month low at 83.14, while the FII outflow of almost of Rs 10,000 crore in August so far also led to selling at higher levels, said Siddhartha Khemka, Head of Retail Research at Motilal Oswal Financial Services.

Domestic equities continued to witness pressure amid weak global cues. While Nifty opened lower and remained in the negative territory throughout the session to close with a loss of 100 points (-0.5 per cent) at 19,365 levels, Sensex was down 388.40 points or 0.59 per cent at 65,151.02.

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However, action shifted to the broader market with the Nifty midcap 100 up 0.2 per cent and the Nifty smallcap 100 up 0.1 per cent. Except for PSU banks and consumer durables, all sectors ended in the red. Indian equities succumbed to global volatility following the hawkish tone of the FOMC minutes meeting and worries over the risk of a downgrade in China‘s sovereign credit rating by Fitch, Khemka said.

Vinod Nair, Head of Research at Geojit Financial Services, said the mounting influence of weak global cues hindered the domestic market’s ability to recoup, resulting in sustained selling pressure. The release of Fed minutes unveiled a divided stance among its members regarding the necessity of additional rate hikes, contrasting the previously anticipated rate pause.

Concurrently, the Indian rupee experienced a decline due to the dollar index surpassing 103.5; however, likely intervention from the RBI offered a degree of support.

Moreover, the escalation of US bond yields is expected to limit the influx of foreign investments into the Indian market, further impacting market dynamics,” he added.

Around 1,777 shares rose, 1,696 fell, and 152 remained constant. ITC, LTIMindtree, Divis Lab, Power Grid, and Reliance Industries were among the top losses on the Nifty, while Adani Ports, Titan Company, Adani Enterprises, Bajaj Auto and SBI were among the top gainers, said Omkar Kamtekar, Research Analyst, Bonanza Portfolio.

Due to a strong dollar and sluggish domestic markets, the rupee dropped to a new 10-month low. In July, India’s inflation rate was 7.44 per cent, up from 4.87 per cent in June with a prediction of 6.4 per cent. We expect the rupee to trade with a bearish bias due to global risk aversion and a strong US dollar,” Kamtekar said.