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As El Nino develops in the Pacific Ocean, concerns rise over a weak monsoon in India. However, forecasts of a positive Indian Ocean Dipole offer hope, with experts suggesting it could offset rainfall deficits, especially across Telangana and southern regions.
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Telangana’s groundwater levels improved in March 2026 following excess rainfall, but experts warn the gains may be temporary as El Niño conditions could weaken the monsoon, potentially reversing recharge trends and increasing water stress in vulnerable districts.
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Climate scientist Dr M N Rajeevan has warned of a possible strong El Nino event in 2026 that could affect India’s monsoon. However, a positive Indian Ocean Dipole may partly offset its impact and help maintain near-normal rainfall.
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Normally, the southwest monsoon makes its onset over Kerala by June 1 and covers the entire country by July 8. It starts retreating from northwest India around September 17 and withdraws completely by October 15
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It was the 18th month of the last 19 that the world hit or passed the internationally agreed upon warming limit of 1.5 degrees Celsius (2.7 degrees Fahrenheit) above pre-industrial times
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Since 1984, when satellite record-keeping of ocean temperatures started, every year has been warmer than the previous one
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News of a likely second year of record heat comes a day after Republican Donald Trump, who called climate change a "hoax" and promised to boost oil drilling and production
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El Niño weather pattern drove record-breaking temperatures and extreme weather around the world
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The forecast extends beyond Telangana, encompassing the entire nation, with expectations of an above-normal monsoon.
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There is a high probability that a La Nina, which is associated with strong monsoons, above average rains and colder rains, will replace the El Nino by July, bringing much needed above average rainfall across the country
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According to officials from the IMD-Hyderabad, the onset of summer is anticipated during the second week of March, but whether El Nino will have an impact in the upcoming summer season is still ‘up in the air’
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IMD said east and northeast India recorded 1,115 mm of rainfall against a normal of 1,367.3 mm, which translates to a deficit of 18 per cen
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India banned shipments of some rice earlier this year, resulting in a shortfall of roughly a fifth of global exports
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After India experiencing the driest August since 1901, the Southwest Monsoon is expected to revive over the weekend bringing rainfall to central and southern parts of the country.
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India is poised to experience the driest August since 1901 which, senior meteorologists say, is a clear result of intensifying El Nino conditions.
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The water temperature around the tip of Florida has hit hot tub levels, and may have set new world record for the warmest seawater.
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As per scientists, climate change and strong El Nino are some of the reasons behind the unprecedented weather conditions.
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Food insecurity is our new normal, where climate change, conflict, and economic instability are pushing those on the margins even further
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Among them, 16 states across all regions, namely North West, Central, South Peninsula, and East and North-East, recorded large excess rainfall.
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The World Health Organization (WHO) has said that it is preparing for an increased spread of viral diseases like dengue, Zika and chikungunya linked to the El Nino event
