"el-nino"

A heatwave occurs when the average temperature is unusually hot for three or more days in a row. That's compared to past weather data taken from the same location

Climate variability is no longer an occasional disruption but a recurring reality, underscoring the need for resilient agricultural systems that can withstand uncertainty

INCOIS has released a specialised El Niño bulletin warning of above-normal Indian Ocean temperatures until 2027. The developing climate event could trigger coral bleaching, marine heatwaves, reduced fish catches, and increased coastal erosion on India's east coast while benefiting maritime operations on the west coast.

The Sri Konda Laxman Telangana Horticultural University has released a crop contingency plan to help farmers manage the effects of El Niño. The advisory recommends drought-resilient varieties, efficient water-management practices and preventive measures against pest and disease outbreaks.

A Bank of Baroda Research report warns of an 80 per cent probability of El Niño during June-August, raising concerns over food inflation. Despite healthy reservoir levels and adequate vegetable supplies, higher fuel costs and weather uncertainties could push inflation higher in FY27

A new research report warns of a high probability of an El Niño event through November, raising concerns over food inflation in India. Despite healthy reservoir levels and vegetable supplies, higher fuel costs and weather uncertainties could push inflation to 5.2–5.5% in FY27 

With El Niño intensifying, Telangana faces drought and rainfall deficits, making the Kaleshwaram Lift Irrigation Project vital to the State’s water security

The India Meteorological Department said El Niño conditions have developed over the equatorial Pacific Ocean and are likely to strengthen during the southwest monsoon season. The atmosphere has responded to warming sea temperatures, with forecasts indicating continued intensification in the coming months

Uncertainty over rainfall due to the expected El Nino effect is leaving farmers in Karimnagar district undecided about paddy cultivation this Vanakalam season. Agriculture officials are encouraging a shift to irrigated dry crops to minimise risks and potential losses.

The southwest monsoon arrived in Kerala on June 4, marking the start of India's rainy season. The IMD expects below-normal rainfall at 90% of the long-period average this year, citing a possible transition towards El Niño conditions as a key factor

The India Meteorological Department (IMD) has forecast below normal rainfall across major parts of India, including Kerala, in 2026 due to the El Niño effect. IMD Director Neetha K Gopal noted that while Kerala may see some good showers around June 10, overall rainfall for June and the monsoon season will be deficient.

India Meteorological Department warns of deficient rainfall in core agricultural zones driven by El Niño, alongside heatwave warnings across eight states for June

The World Meteorological Organization warned there is an 86 per cent chance that a year between 2026 and 2030 could surpass 2024 as the hottest year on record. The report also projected continued global warming and increasing chances of temporary 1.5 degrees Celsius breaches.

An IMD study published in MAUSAM has linked prolonged and intense heatwaves across India, including Telangana, to El Niño conditions. Researchers found that strong El Niño events significantly raise temperatures during pre-monsoon months and stressed the need for early Heat Action Plans.

As El Nino develops in the Pacific Ocean, concerns rise over a weak monsoon in India. However, forecasts of a positive Indian Ocean Dipole offer hope, with experts suggesting it could offset rainfall deficits, especially across Telangana and southern regions.

Telangana’s groundwater levels improved in March 2026 following excess rainfall, but experts warn the gains may be temporary as El Niño conditions could weaken the monsoon, potentially reversing recharge trends and increasing water stress in vulnerable districts.

Climate scientist Dr M N Rajeevan has warned of a possible strong El Nino event in 2026 that could affect India’s monsoon. However, a positive Indian Ocean Dipole may partly offset its impact and help maintain near-normal rainfall.

Normally, the southwest monsoon makes its onset over Kerala by June 1 and covers the entire country by July 8. It starts retreating from northwest India around September 17 and withdraws completely by October 15

It was the 18th month of the last 19 that the world hit or passed the internationally agreed upon warming limit of 1.5 degrees Celsius (2.7 degrees Fahrenheit) above pre-industrial times

Since 1984, when satellite record-keeping of ocean temperatures started, every year has been warmer than the previous one