"el-nino"

The India Meteorological Department (IMD) has forecast below normal rainfall across major parts of India, including Kerala, in 2026 due to the El Niño effect. IMD Director Neetha K Gopal noted that while Kerala may see some good showers around June 10, overall rainfall for June and the monsoon season will be deficient.

India Meteorological Department warns of deficient rainfall in core agricultural zones driven by El Niño, alongside heatwave warnings across eight states for June

The World Meteorological Organization warned there is an 86 per cent chance that a year between 2026 and 2030 could surpass 2024 as the hottest year on record. The report also projected continued global warming and increasing chances of temporary 1.5 degrees Celsius breaches.

An IMD study published in MAUSAM has linked prolonged and intense heatwaves across India, including Telangana, to El Niño conditions. Researchers found that strong El Niño events significantly raise temperatures during pre-monsoon months and stressed the need for early Heat Action Plans.

As El Nino develops in the Pacific Ocean, concerns rise over a weak monsoon in India. However, forecasts of a positive Indian Ocean Dipole offer hope, with experts suggesting it could offset rainfall deficits, especially across Telangana and southern regions.

Telangana’s groundwater levels improved in March 2026 following excess rainfall, but experts warn the gains may be temporary as El Niño conditions could weaken the monsoon, potentially reversing recharge trends and increasing water stress in vulnerable districts.

Climate scientist Dr M N Rajeevan has warned of a possible strong El Nino event in 2026 that could affect India’s monsoon. However, a positive Indian Ocean Dipole may partly offset its impact and help maintain near-normal rainfall.

Normally, the southwest monsoon makes its onset over Kerala by June 1 and covers the entire country by July 8. It starts retreating from northwest India around September 17 and withdraws completely by October 15

It was the 18th month of the last 19 that the world hit or passed the internationally agreed upon warming limit of 1.5 degrees Celsius (2.7 degrees Fahrenheit) above pre-industrial times

Since 1984, when satellite record-keeping of ocean temperatures started, every year has been warmer than the previous one

News of a likely second year of record heat comes a day after Republican Donald Trump, who called climate change a "hoax" and promised to boost oil drilling and production

El Niño weather pattern drove record-breaking temperatures and extreme weather around the world

The forecast extends beyond Telangana, encompassing the entire nation, with expectations of an above-normal monsoon.

There is a high probability that a La Nina, which is associated with strong monsoons, above average rains and colder rains, will replace the El Nino by July, bringing much needed above average rainfall across the country

According to officials from the IMD-Hyderabad, the onset of summer is anticipated during the second week of March, but whether El Nino will have an impact in the upcoming summer season is still ‘up in the air’

IMD said east and northeast India recorded 1,115 mm of rainfall against a normal of 1,367.3 mm, which translates to a deficit of 18 per cen

India banned shipments of some rice earlier this year, resulting in a shortfall of roughly a fifth of global exports

After India experiencing the driest August since 1901, the Southwest Monsoon is expected to revive over the weekend bringing rainfall to central and southern parts of the country.

India is poised to experience the driest August since 1901 which, senior meteorologists say, is a clear result of intensifying El Nino conditions.

The water temperature around the tip of Florida has hit hot tub levels, and may have set new world record for the warmest seawater.