BRS gets clear edge in Jubilee Hills bypoll survey

A Codemo survey shows BRS holding a 10 percentage points lead in the upcoming Jubilee Hills bypoll, with strong youth, women, and minority support. KCR tops CM preference, while Congress faces urban discontent and BJP struggles to break through

Hyderabad: The upcoming Jubilee Hills by-election is shaping up to be a litmus test for all major parties in Telangana, but a fresh constituency survey has tilted the scales firmly in favour of the BRS. With 42.8 per cent of respondents backing it compared to 32.7 per cent for Congress and 19.5 per cent for BJP, the BRS enters the contest with a comfortable 10.1 percentage points lead.

The latest telephonic sample survey was conducted by an independent body Codemo (Connecting Democracy), to gauge the ground situation in the constituency, which is expected to witness a bypoll in the next couple of months. The survey indicated that despite the ruling Congress’ aggressive campaigning and the BJP’s attempts to capitalise on urban discontent, Jubilee Hills remains a BRS bastion.

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Youth and women rally behind BRS

One of the most striking aspects of the survey is the overwhelming support BRS enjoys among the youth. In the crucial 18–25 age group, the party is leading by a margin of 27.3 per cent. Women voters have also shown a 12.1 per cent preference gap in favour of BRS over the Congress.

The survey demolished the narrative that BRS’ social coalition was weakening. Among SCs (48.9 per cent), STs (42 per cent), and Backward Classes (43.4 per cent), BRS commands the largest share of support. Even among minorities, who form a decisive bloc in the constituency, the party maintains a strong foothold with 46.5 per cent. This cross-sectional appeal indicates that Jubilee Hills is less swayed by Congress’ rhetoric and more anchored in BRS’ proven track record of welfare delivery and urban governance.

KCR vs Revanth Reddy

In the Chief Minister preference poll, the survey placed K Chandrashekhar Rao well ahead with 46.5 per cent support, while Revanth Reddy trails at just 28.4 per cent.

Nearly 41.5 per cent rated the Congress government’s performance as bad or very bad, pointing to widespread disillusionment with its 21-month rule marked by Group-1 exam scams, unkept job promises, and rising urban chaos. In contrast, late MLA Maganti Gopinath of BRS enjoys a strong personal legacy, with over 71.4 per cent rating his tenure positively. His wife, Sunitha, emerging as the frontrunner for the BRS ticket, is expected to consolidate this goodwill further.

Congress cornered, BJP sidelined

The survey also exposed Congress’ vulnerability. Despite holding power, its inability to resolve key urban issues, including drainage, road repairs, rising crime and exam irregularities has eroded trust. As a result, voters appeared unconvinced by the Congress’ promises.

Though attempting to project itself as an alternative, the BJP remained distant third, showing its urban push has failed to dent BRS’ stronghold.

The BRS heads into this battle not just as the frontrunner, but also as the party that still commands the trust of Hyderabad’s urban heartland.