Saturday, Sep 23, 2023
English News
  • Hyderabad
  • Telangana
  • AP News
  • India
  • World
  • Entertainment
  • Science and Tech
  • Sport
  • Business
  • Rewind
  • ...
    • NRI
    • View Point
    • cartoon
    • Columns
    • Education Today
    • Reviews
    • Property
    • Videos
    • Lifestyle
E-Paper
  • NRI
  • View Point
  • cartoon
  • Columns
  • Reviews
  • Education Today
  • Property
  • Videos
  • Lifestyle
Home | India | Covid 19 Cases Could Peak In July

‘Covid-19 cases could peak in July’

Hyderabad: The ongoing surge of Covid-19 infections — widely believed to be driven by the BA4 and BA5 variants of Omicron — in Maharashtra, Tamil Nadu, Kerala, Karnataka and Telangana, could peak sometime in July, a preliminary assessment by the SUTRA mathematical model for forecasting pandemics has revealed. For the past one week, the South […]

By M. Sai Gopal
Published Date - 12:15 AM, Mon - 13 June 22
‘Covid-19 cases could peak in July’
Representational Image
whatsapp facebook twitter telegram

Hyderabad: The ongoing surge of Covid-19 infections — widely believed to be driven by the BA4 and BA5 variants of Omicron — in Maharashtra, Tamil Nadu, Kerala, Karnataka and Telangana, could peak sometime in July, a preliminary assessment by the SUTRA mathematical model for forecasting pandemics has revealed.

For the past one week, the South Indian States of Tamil Nadu, Karnataka, Kerala and Telangana, apart from Maharashtra and Delhi, have witnessed a significant surge in Covid infections.

While the average daily caseload in Maharashtra and Kerala are above 2,000, other South Indian States are reporting anywhere between 150 and 500 positive cases every day.

“Cases are rising again, particularly in Maharashtra and Kerala. As per a preliminary assessment, both should peak in July. The current phase in both places has not yet stabilised and so a more accurate picture will emerge only after a few days,” IIT-Kanpur professor Dr Manindra Agrawal said.

The SUTRA forecast, developed by mathematicians from IIT-Kanpur and Hyderabad, had accurately forecasted the peak of three previous Covid waves. This time too, the forecast is quite consistent with the projections made by the public health officials of Telangana. “We are expecting the cases to rise consistently till another six weeks, which means somewhere in July. We could perhaps witness the cases gradually dropping after that,” Director of Public Health Dr G Srinivasa Rao had said during a recent interaction with the media.

The SUTRA researchers have also pointed out that the current Covid surge is highly unstable and that they would take at least a week or so to make an exact forecast or prediction. “We do not expect the rise in infections to be significant,” they said.

It is also becoming clear that the surge across multiple Indian States is due to the BA4 and BA5 variants. The latest genome sequencing data (till June 5) from the Indian SARS-CoV-2 Genomics (INSACOG) has indicated that the BA5 variant is active in Telangana and Tamil Nadu, while BA4 is active in Maharashtra.

As observed in the US, South Africa and Europe, there is a possibility that the two variants would replace the BA2 variant in the weeks to come. Despite the forecast of a surge, a majority of public health specialists broadly agree that the severity and hospitalisations would not be similar to the previous Covid waves.

Telangana Today Whatsapp
  • Follow Us :
  • Tags
  • Covid infections
  • Covid-19
  • INSACOG
  • Omicron

Related News

  • DEET: End your Job search here

    DEET: End your Job search here

  • Opinion: Why slowing China worries West

    Opinion: Why slowing China worries West

  • Delhi CM approves Rs 1 crore ex gratia each to kin of 17 Covid warriors

    Delhi CM approves Rs 1 crore ex gratia each to kin of 17 Covid warriors

  • Asian Games: Telangana athletes set to dazzle

    Asian Games: Telangana athletes set to dazzle

  • Corporates, builders, politicians and all sections hail Telangana

    Corporates, builders, politicians and all sections hail Telangana

  • IMD issues yellow alert for Northeastern Telangana, anticipates heavy rainfall

    IMD issues yellow alert for Northeastern Telangana, anticipates heavy rainfall

Latest News

  • Hyderabad: 74 artificial ponds set up for immersion

    17 mins ago
  • India vs Australia 1st ODI Highlights: Rahul And Surya Deal The Chase Calmly

    8 hours ago
  • Editorial: Onus on Ottawa

    8 hours ago
  • Prize money for ICC Men’s Cricket World Cup 2023 revealed

    8 hours ago
  • Karnataka govt. says it is committed to protect state’s interest in Cauvery issue

    8 hours ago
  • India vs Australia 1st ODI Highlights: Zampa Attempts To Control India’s Chase

    8 hours ago
  • Jairam Ramesh demands suspension of BJP MP Bidhuri over remarks

    8 hours ago
  • India vs Australia 1st ODI Highlights: Gill And Ruturaj Dominate Australian Bowlers

    9 hours ago

company

  • Home
  • About Us
  • Contact Us

business

  • Subscribe

telangana today

  • Telangana
  • Hyderabad
  • Latest News
  • Entertainment
  • World
  • Andhra Pradesh
  • Science & Tech
  • Sport

follow us

© Copyrights 2022 TELANGANA PUBLICATIONS PVT. LTD. All rights reserved. Powered by Veegam